Somaliland – The Chronicles of Chaos, Fratricide Conflict, and Mafia. Part III

In two earlier articles, I discussed possibilities and ways of Somali reconciliation and pacification that could lead to Somalia’s reunification. Thanks to the present international conjuncture, the various threats that existed against Somalia started losing their strength, and the Somalis have now a chance to reshape their country and get engaged in its reconstruction.

Here are the links to the aforementioned articles:
Somaliland – The Chronicles of Chaos, Fratricide Conflict, and Mafia. Part I
http://www.buzzle.com/articles/somaliland-the-chronicles-of-chaos-fratricide-conflict-and-mafia-part-i.html
Somaliland – The Chronicles of Chaos, Fratricide Conflict, and Mafia. Part II
http://www.buzzle.com/articles/somaliland-the-chronicles-of-chaos-fratricide-conflict-and-mafia-part-ii.html

In fact, the American adventures in Afghanistan and Iraq, the failure in the War against Terrorism, the explosive situation of the world economy, the emergence of several challengers of the colonial establishments of the West (from the Latin American leaders Evo Morales and Hugo Chavez to Kyrgyzstan), the impossibility of Europe to shape one foreign and defense policy, and the rise of a multi-polar world (Russia, China, India, Brazil, Turkey), which is reflected in the rapidly increasing significance of G-20, constitute a very different environment that the Somali leaders must take into consideration because it favours the pacification and the reunification of Somalia.

The regional realities have changed too; Kenya, Abyssinia, Sudan and Yemen are at the brink of the abyss. The threat of another regional war between the modern state of Eritrea and the anachronistic colonial fossil of Abyssinia has been deferred for the time being. The decomposition of Sudan will trigger the disintegration of Abyssinia, and if this does not happen, events will occur the other way round.

If composite colonial states fall apart, what can be the reason of the unitary Nation of Somalia to remain disunited? Contrarily to all its neighbors, Somalia constitutes a coherent nation with one language, one religion and one culture.

The differences between a Rahaweyn Somali and an Issa Somali are absolutely insignificant if compared to the chaos that separates an Oromo from an Amhara in Abyssinia or the gap existing between a Dinka and a Beja in Sudan. Even the issues that separate the Ogadenis and the Isaaq are minor if compared with the grave conflict that characterizes the troublesome relations between the Sidamas and the Tigrays in Abyssinia or the Saada Shia and the Sanaa Sunnis in Yemen.

What remains the Somalis’ mightier opponent and greater enemy now is neither Abyssinia nor Kenya. Both countries face an economic implosion without precedent. Somalia’s greater menace is merely the survival of lawless situations and catastrophic conditions that have been shaped during the long period of Civil War (1991 – 2009). To avert dangers emanating from this state of affairs, all patriotic Somalis from the South, the Center, the East, the North, and Ogaden must realize the very simple truth that either they will all rule Somalia together or they will all fail – each in his respective position.

It is therefore urgent for contacts to be resumed between the Asmara-based ARS leadership, the Shebab guidance, the TFG instances, the Puntland authorities, and the opposition Kulmiye party of the breakaway, lawless pseudo-state of Somaliland.

Instead of envisaging ways that lead only to the prolongation of the fratricide conflicts, all different components of the Somali socio-political life should understand that the top priority for Somalia now is the elimination of the shameful puppet of the Abyssinians, the murderous Mafia lord of Hargeisa, and his gang. The total dismantlement of the Hargeisa gang will open the way for Somalia’s pacification and reunification which are conditions sine qua non for the subsequent rehabilitation of the undeservedly targeted country.

Somaliland was never a country; worse, it never had the slightest chance of getting international recognition. There is no different nation, no separate ethno-religious group, no distinct sociopolitical establishment in Somaliland to possibly justify the breakaway effort and the secessionist policies as in the internationally accepted cases England – Ireland, Holland – Belgium, North Korea – South Korea.

A Trap Named Somaliland

Somaliland is merely a trap for all the Somalis. A trap for further division. The trap has little to do with overall considerations about Somalia and how the country should be governed. It has to do with tactics. The trap consists in the idea that things should first be clarified and settled in the Somali Center and South (among the new TFG establishment, the Asmara—based TFG leadership, and the Shebab) and later in the Somali Northeast (Puntland) and Northwest (Somaliland).

This will never happen; the idea that one of the conflicting forces will finally prevail in the Center and the South, and it will later sort it out with the Garowe establishment and the Hargeisa gang is naïve. It engulfs those who believe in this hallucination in a deep swamp from where there is no comeback.

While the Riyaale tyranny can gradually be decomposed by itself through a long process involving the rise of peripheral tribal Northern Somali gangs, Puntland can survive unrecognized for another decade. These eventualities will become a reality, if the main parties competing for power in the Somali Center and South do not come to an agreement for power sharing. And this is the trap; namely that, while continuing to fight against one another, Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, Sheikh Hassan Abdullah al Turki, Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, and Sheikh Mukhtar Robow will weaken themselves for long, confirming – each of them – their rule in a small part of the Somali Center and South, allowing the prolonged duration of the structures of Puntland and Somaliland, and thus leading the entire country to permanent division.

For all of them, the worst chance is that they prevail each one on a different and distinct territory, and they fight against one another alongside the borderlines of their circumferences, thus keeping the ongoing strife for too long. If the division among them continues, Somalia will be de facto divided, and even without major foreign intervention, the country will remain ramshackle.

To gain more in a prospect United Somalia, all the leaders of the Somali Center and South, namely Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, Sheikh Hassan Abdullah al Turki, Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, and Sheikh Mukhtar Robow, must first decide to gain less in the Somali Center and South. Sharing power there will enable them to rule the entire country soon afterwards.

I republish here an article shedding more light on the chaotic situation triggered in the pseudo-state Somaliland because of the dictatorial rule and the Mafia methods of Riyaale, who is currently being engaged in an effort to organize fake elections that will enable him to become influential in the power game among the various Somali establishments. Helping the opposition party Kulmiye there equals National Defense of Somalia.

Gangster Riyaale must be eliminated at all costs.

Somaliland’s electoral commissioner quits after presidential pressure
http://xogtamaanta.com/page10.html

Hargeisa, Somaliland - (Xogtamaanta.com) 01.02.09 - Reports from Somaliland capital, Hargeisa confirm that the electoral commissioner of Somaliland’s upcoming election has quitted after immense pressure from the ruling party leader and the president of Somaliland, Daahir Riyaale Kaahin and his cronies.

The Somaliland’s electoral commissioner, Mohamed Ismail Kaboweyne is said he decided to vacate his post when the ruling government lost faith with him and accused of being too close to the opposition parties.

Last week the chairman and the presidential candidate for the main opposition party of Kulmiye, Ahmed Siilaanyo, has announced the support and the trust his party has for the commission and warned against the government interferences.

The opposition parties accused president Riyaale and his administration for dealing with the commission with thrust and not allowing to do their duty.

The Somaliland Electoral Commission has huge task of taking Somaliland into next general elections in which three parties will contest for the leadership of Somaliland in the next five years.

Critics say; it won’t be surprise if the current commissioner relinquishes, because there is great deal of mistrust among the ruling party and the oppositions and a huge pressure from the government in which the commission can not cope with.

The resignation of Somaliland’s electoral commissioner, which is yet to be declared publicly, could lead a new row over who should replace the commissioner and the possibility of postponing the elections indefinitely, a move the oppositions are unyielding to accept.

The government oppositions already described the commissioner’s resignation as a government attempt to buy more time for solving its UDUB party dispute over its convention for selecting the candidates that will run for the upcoming elections for the UDUB party.

Somaliland held one general elections since it adopted one man one vote system in 2004 and abandoned its traditional Guurti selected presidential system, which eventually helped the country to democratized its system of elections.

Note
Picture: Chaos in Somaliland – an ordinary case in the streets of Hargeisa.